- The Vikings are -3 point favorites vs the Seahawks
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (12-2-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (8-6-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Seattle, WA.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Vikings vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -3 -105 | 42.5 -105 | -155 |
| Seahawks | +3 -115 | 42.5 -115 | +130 |
Vikings vs. Seahawks Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Seahawks Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 86% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.69 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.32 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+3.83 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.37 Units / 18% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 30.07% ROI).
- Vikings are 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 40.43% ROI
- Vikings are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Vikings are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / ROI
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 6-7 (-1.8 Units / -11.69% ROI).
- Seahawks are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 10.51% ROI
- Seahawks are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Seahawks are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Vikings are 5-1 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 22 s this season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Vikings are 12-2 (.857) this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .602.
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Seahawks were 5-1 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
The Seahawks are 6-9 (.400) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .248.
The Seahawks are 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2023 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .628.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have run just 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponent to run just 13.0% of plays in the red zone this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 29.5% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 26.3% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Seahawks have been successful on just 27.8% of plays they have run against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 28.9% of plays with a stacked front this season — best in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 57.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed successful plays on 59.5% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings are 5-1 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 22 s this season — 4th-highest in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have averaged 0.97 epa per play against open coverage since Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.45.
The Vikings have 129 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 60% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Vikings ran the ball on 29% of plays (16 carries/56 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 30% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 28% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.
The Seahawks defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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