- The Cincinnati is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Arizona St
- The Arizona State vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Arizona State Sun Devils (5-1) visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (4-2) on Oct. 19 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Cincinnati vs Arizona St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Arizona State vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona State | +6.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +200 |
| Cincinnati | -6.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -250 |
Arizona State vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 58.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona State vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Cincinnati vs Arizona St and all games with BetMGM
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+13.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Bets Today
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.54% ROI).
- Arizona State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 55.14% ROI
- Arizona State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.21% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 13.08% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Cincinnati is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Arizona State is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Arizona State is 4-6 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .542
Arizona State is 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .461
Arizona State was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Cincinnati is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Cincinnati is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .285
Cincinnati is 8-10 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .627
Cincinnati is 6-10 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s TEs has 31 receptions in 6 games (5.2 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has 31 receptions in 6 games (5.2 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 19.2 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 155 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 155 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 155 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 8.5 Yards per Carry (366 yards/43 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (446 yards / 46 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Cincinnati WRs were targeted 9 times in the Red Zone last week– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
Cincinnati WRs were targeted 10 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– most among Big 12 Teams
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (369 yards / 35 touches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 94 carries (6.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.4
Arizona State has allowed 22 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
Arizona State has allowed 3.5 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
Arizona State allowed no passing TDs (37 pass attempts) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.4
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10.3
Cincinnati has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 200 carries (100 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 30.8
Cincinnati has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 26 carries (13 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.2
Cincinnati has no interceptions (78 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 44.5
Cincinnati has no interceptions (78 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.1
Bet now on Cincinnati vs Arizona St and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
