Army vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Tulsa head coach Kevin Wilson reacts during an NCAA college football game against Tulane in New Orleans, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
  • The Army is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • The Army vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Army Black Knights (4-0) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-3) on Oct. 5 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Army vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Tulsa vs Army & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Army vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army-12.5 -11050.5 -105-450
Tulsa +12.5 -11050.5 -115+333

Army vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and Tulsa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Army vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 87.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+9.60 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+7.00 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+3.40 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Bets Today

  • Bryson Daily has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tulsa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulsa Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Anthony Watkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Kamdyn Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Army is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 32.61% ROI
  • Army is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Army is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.07% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -75% ROI
  • Tulsa is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -2.75% ROI
  • Tulsa is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.6% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Army is 7-2 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

Army is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Army is 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .597

Army is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .336

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Tulsa is 3-11 (.214) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Tulsa is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .362

Tulsa is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Tulsa is 6-11 (.353) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Matchup Notes for Army vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 2,877 yards on 197 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 12.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 63 receptions in 17 games (3.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Army’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 31 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s QBs has thrown for 1,472 passing yards in 16 games (just 92.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 281.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s WRs has 72 receptions in 16 games (just 4.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 6.2 receptions per game (99/16) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Army Skill Players have been targeted 11.4 times per game (182/16) since the 2023 season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.5

Army Skill Players have been targeted 8.0 times per game (32/4) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.5

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.5 receptions per game (18/4) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 31 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa RBs have no touchdowns on 63 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.5

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 2,877 yards on 197 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 12.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs were targeted 10 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs have been targeted 27 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed one rushing TD on 85 carries this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20

Army’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 25% of PATs this season– 4th-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Army sacked opponents 7 times last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Army has allowed one rushing TD on 10 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1

Army sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (7/30) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most in FBS

Tulsa has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7

Tulsa has allowed 14 TD passes this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Tulsa allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa has no interceptions (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 39.1


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.