Auburn vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Georgia head coach Kirby Smart watches a play during the first half of the Southeastern Conference championship NCAA college football game against Alabama in Atlanta, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • The Georgia is a -24.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
  • The Auburn vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Auburn Tigers (2-3) visit Sanford Stadium to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).

The Auburn vs. Georgia Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia vs Auburn & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Auburn vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn+24.5 -11552.5 -110+1100
Georgia -24.5 -10552.5 -110-2500

Auburn vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Georgia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Auburn vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 88.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Georgia have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 15.32% ROI).

  • Auburn is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -13.81% ROI
  • Auburn is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI).

  • Georgia is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 8.49% ROI
  • Georgia is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
  • Georgia is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Auburn is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535

Auburn is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Auburn is 7-8 (.467) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Auburn is 7-8 (.467) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Georgia is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .441

Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Georgia is undefeated (15-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .699

Georgia is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Georgia

Georgia has 421 receptions in 18 games (23.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has gained 132 yards on 10 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has gained 132 yards on 10 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 7.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 1,474 passing yards in 5 games (294.8 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 162.0 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.6% of 147 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,224 yards on 63 receptions (19.4 YPR) this season — best among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 1,474 passing yards in 5 games (294.8 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 162.0 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.6% of 147 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,224 yards on 63 receptions (19.4 YPR) this season — best among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn has gained 1,474 yards on 90 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — best among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia WRs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among SEC Teams

Georgia Skill Players had 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among SEC Teams

Georgia Skill Players had 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Georgia QBs had 6 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Skill Players had 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn allowed first downs on 12% of rush attempts last week– best in the SEC; Average: 22%

Auburn tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 32 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 21%.

Auburn allowed no passing TDs (15 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17.3

Auburn has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (329 yards / 121 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Auburn has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 5 of 157 attempts (3%) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia did not record a sack (33 pass attempts) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 9.5

Georgia did not sack opposing QBs on any of 33 pass attempts last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia opponents has averaged 34.7 Passing Attempts per TD (521 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 20.5

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 14 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.