- The Ball State is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
- The Ball State vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals (1-4) visit Dix Stadium to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-5) on Oct. 12 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Ball State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Kent State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | -6.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | -250 |
| Kent State | +6.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | +200 |
Ball State vs Kent State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and Kent State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Kent State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ball State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ball State Player Prop Bets Today
- Qian Magwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kent State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ball State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -28.57% ROI
- Ball State is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 91.95% ROI
- Ball State is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -100% ROI
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State is 0-5 against the spread this college football season (-5.5 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kent State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Kent State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.81% ROI
- Kent State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -25% ROI
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State
Ball State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Ball State is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Ball State is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Ball State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .387
Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Kent State is 1-14 (.067) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Kent State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Kent State is winless (0-13) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Kent State
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 429 attempts since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s TEs has 40 receptions in 5 games (8.0 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kent State RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,596 yards / 452 touches) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Kent State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (178 yards / 73 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Kent State Skill Players have averaged 25.5 yards per reception (153 yards/6 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State has allowed 18 TD passes this season– most in FBS
Ball State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 29 of 151 attempts (19%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%
Ball State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 16 of their 161 carries (10%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%
Ball State has allowed 18 TD passes this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Ball State has intercepted one of 151 attempts this season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends
Kent State has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Kent State has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Kent State has not forced a fumble (234 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7
Kent State has allowed 582.6 yards from scrimmage per game this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 387.8
Kent State has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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