C Michigan vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Illinois head coach Bret Bielema watches from the sideline during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 15-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Illinois is a -20 point favorite vs. C Michigan
  • Central Michigan vs. Illinois Total(Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: PEAC

The Central Michigan Chippewas (1-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20 (-110).

The Central Michigan vs. Illinois Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Central Michigan vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Michigan+20 -11051.5 -110+800
Illinois -20 -11051.5 -110-1400

Central Michigan vs Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Central Michigan vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • Illinois is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
  • Illinois is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Illinois is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Central Michigan is 3-7 (.273) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Central Michigan is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Central Michigan is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Central Michigan is 7-9 (.389) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .529

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Illinois is 5-5 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .390

Illinois is 7-1 (.778) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Illinois is 7-2 (.700) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .517

Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Matchup Notes for Central Michigan vs. Illinois

Illinois’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s TEs have just 19.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 107.5 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s RBs have just 8.5 receiving yards per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 107.5 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Joe Labas (CMC) has thrown 5 interceptions this season — T-2nd-most of Qualified Quarterbacks. Illinois’s defense has caused 5 interceptions this season — T-2nd-most among FBS defenses.

Joe Labas (CMC) has thrown 5 interceptions this season — T-2nd-most of Qualified Quarterbacks. Illinois’s defense has caused 5 interceptions this season — T-most among Big Ten defenses.

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 16.1 receptions per game (226/14) since the 2023 season– 31st-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Central Michigan RBs have averaged just 4.0 Yards per Carry (463 yards/117 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-11th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Central Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 54 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.7

Central Michigan RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (260 yards/74 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (473 yards/49 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2

Illinois’s TEs have just 19.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 107.5 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (473 yards/49 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.6

Illinois TEs have averaged just 1.5 receptions per game (3/2) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 4.3

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has forced 4 fumbles on 488 carries (122.0 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3

Central Michigan has no interceptions (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Central Michigan has forced 4 fumbles on 488 carries (122.0 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.2

Central Michigan has intercepted 10 of 767 attempts (76.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.2

Central Michigan has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 55 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%.

Illinois has 5 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Illinois has allowed first downs on 24% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11%

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 55 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 17%.

Illinois has allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in the Big Ten


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.