Kansas vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • The Arizona St is a -3 point favorite vs. Kansas
  • The Kansas vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Kansas Jayhawks (1-4) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Kansas vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas+3 -11050.5 -110+130
Arizona State -3 -11050.5 -110-155

Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+13.80 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quentin Skinner has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Daniel Hishaw Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Trenton Bourguet has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Trenton Bourguet has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Sam Leavitt has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Troy Omeire has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).

  • Kansas is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -84.28% ROI
  • Kansas is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • Kansas is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 47.45% ROI
  • Arizona State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
  • Arizona State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Kansas is 9-3 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .545

Kansas is 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Kansas is 5-8 (.385) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .609

Kansas is 5-8 (.385) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .547

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Arizona State is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Arizona State is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445

Arizona State is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Arizona State is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Arizona State

Arizona State’s WRs has gained 1,971 yards on 177 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State’s TEs has gained 694 yards on 68 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has gained 1,971 yards on 177 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-7th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 274 receptions in 18 games (just 15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 274 receptions in 18 games (just 15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has gained 669 yards on 58 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has gained 856 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 11.0 receptions (22 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Arizona State TEs have just one touchdown on 68 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.8 receptions (306 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.8 receptions (306 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 22% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 22% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.6

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has intercepted 8 of 555 attempts (69.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.2

Arizona State has allowed 4.6 touchdowns per interception (37 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.8

Arizona State has intercepted 8 of 555 attempts (69.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 36.3

Arizona State has allowed 22 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State has allowed 4.6 touchdowns per interception (37 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.