- The Jacksonville State is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Middle Tenn State
- The Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-5) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-3) on Oct. 23 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Middle Tennessee | +20.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | +850 |
| Jacksonville State | -20.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | -1600 |
Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and Jacksonville State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Middle Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Middle Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Middle Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Omari Kelly has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Holden Willis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -49.38% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -4.48% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 58.65% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -67.94% ROI
Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Middle Tennessee is 3-7 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .540
Middle Tennessee is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
Middle Tennessee is 4-11 (.267) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Middle Tennessee is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee
Jacksonville State is 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Jacksonville State is 7-3 (.700) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .550
Jacksonville State is 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480
Jacksonville State is 10-7 (.588) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State has 277 receptions in 19 games (just 14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 3,553 passing yards in 19 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 264.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 3,553 passing yards in 19 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 264.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,551 yards on 351 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,551 yards on 351 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,551 yards on 351 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,551 yards on 351 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 1,551 yards on 351 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 4.2 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has 277 receptions in 19 games (just 14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 3,553 passing yards in 19 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 264.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 3,553 passing yards in 19 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 264.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State has 277 receptions in 19 games (just 14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Jacksonville State has gained 1,330 yards on 96 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.2
Middle Tennessee has allowed 19 TD passes this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Middle Tennessee has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Middle Tennessee has allowed 26 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2.0
Middle Tennessee has allowed 10 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 21 attempts (29%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 21 attempts (29%) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 9%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 26 of 159 attempts (16%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 67 of 788 carries (9%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%
Jacksonville State has allowed 11.7 Yards per Attempt (245 yards/21 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 6.9
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