Oregon St vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty runs for a short gain in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado State on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Fort Collins, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Boise St is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
  • Oregon State vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Oregon State Beavers (5-6) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (10-1) on Nov. 29 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-105).

The Oregon State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Oregon State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon State+20.5 -11556.5 -110+750
Boise State -20.5 -10556.5 -110-1200

Oregon State vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 91.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Gevani McCoy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Anthony Hankerson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Trent Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Matt Lauter has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Matt Lauter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Maddux Madsen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -7.03% ROI
  • Oregon State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Oregon State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 30.45% ROI).

  • Boise State is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 5.32% ROI
  • Boise State is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Boise State is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Oregon State is winless (0-4) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .333

Oregon State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .607

Oregon State is 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Oregon State is winless (0-4) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

Boise State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

Boise State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .579

Boise State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564

Boise State is 18-7 (.720) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .579

Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Boise State

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 687 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 2.2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,565 yards on 365 carries (7.0 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 26 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State has just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among Power 5 skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 32.5 receptions (195 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 34.0 receptions (136 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 32.5 receptions (195 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 34.0 receptions (136 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Oregon State’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have averaged 7.0 Yards per Carry (2,565 yards/365 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Boise State RBs have averaged 233.2 rushing yards per game (2,565/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.1

Boise State RBs have rushed for 34 TDs this season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 687 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs have averaged 202.9 rushing yards per game (5,072/25) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 126.0

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 40.6 pass attempts (284 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1

Oregon State opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 40.6 pass attempts (284 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Oregon State opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 28 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (44/361) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Boise State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (44/361) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Boise State has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.