- The Oregon St is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- The Oregon State vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Oregon State Beavers (4-1) visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-4) on Oct. 12 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Oregon State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Oregon State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon State | -4.5 -105 | 48.5 -115 | -190 |
| Nevada | +4.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 | +155 |
Oregon State vs Nevada Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 61.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon St and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Nevada vs Oregon St and all games with BetMGM
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 93% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+3.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon State Player Prop Bets Today
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- Oregon State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Oregon State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -12.35% ROI
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -41.28% ROI
- Nevada is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Oregon State is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Oregon State is 11-3 (.786) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .630
Oregon State is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .534
Oregon State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .616
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Nevada is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422
Nevada is 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Nevada is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .486
Nevada is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. Nevada
Nevada’s QBs has rushed for 362 yards on 79 carries (4.6 YPC) this season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has rushed for 362 yards on 79 carries (4.6 YPC) this season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Patrick Garwo (NEV) has averaged a TD every 9.0 carries this season — 7th-best of Qualified Running Back. Oregon State’s defense allowed a touchdown every just 17.8 carries this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 91 yards on 6 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 2,853 yards on 518 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State has averaged 13.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Nevada’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State WRs have just one touchdown on 55 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 38.5 receptions (77 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8
Oregon State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 4 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (12 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
Oregon State’s TEs has gained 91 yards on 6 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among P5 TEs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (299 yards/89 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Nevada RBs averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (120 yards/53 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Nevada Skill Players have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Nevada RBs have no touchdowns on 54 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.5
Nevada RBs averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (756 yards/231 carries) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 10 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 10 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 142 carries (9%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3%
Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 142 carries (9%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%
Oregon State has averaged a sack every 35.8 pass attempts (143 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada has not forced a fumble (181 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 42.4
Nevada has not forced a fumble (181 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7
Nevada did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.5
Nevada has allowed 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (492 yards / 58 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
Nevada’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– 4th-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
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