- Penn State is a -8.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
- Penn State vs. West Virginia Total(Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Penn State Nittany Lions 0-0 visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | -8.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -300 |
| West Virginia | +8.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +240 |
Penn State vs West Virginia Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 72.8% confidence.
Penn State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 82.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and West Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State was 9-4 against the spread last college football season (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).
- Penn State was 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 1.93% ROI
- Penn State was 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Penn State was 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 8-5 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 18.31% ROI).
- West Virginia was 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 36.1% ROI
- West Virginia was 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- West Virginia was 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Penn State is 11-4 (.733) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .409
Penn State is 17-3 (.708) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .432
Penn State is 17-4 (.810) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .574
Penn State is 14-2 (.824) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .494
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
West Virginia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .565
West Virginia was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2023 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .549
West Virginia was 8-4 (.615) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .503
West Virginia is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .292
Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s TEs had 37 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs had just 153.7 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
West Virginia’s TEs had 37 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s TEs gained 807 yards on 71 receptions (11.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. West Virginia’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Penn State’s RBs averaged 10.1 yards after the catch last season — 14th-best among FBS RBs. West Virginia’s defense allowed just 12.2 RAC last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Penn State had 23 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — 2nd-most among Power 5 skill players. West Virginia’s defense allowed 13 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — 2nd-most among Big 12 defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State TEs caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs have caught 29 touchdown passes since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs were targeted 28 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs have caught 22 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Penn State TEs caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia Skill Players caught just 1 of 5 passes(20% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 72%
West Virginia’s TEs had 37 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
West Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
West Virginia’s WRs had just 153.7 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
West Virginia’s TEs had 37 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Penn State opponents has averaged 37.0 Passing Attempts per TD (813 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.3
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 207 of 871 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Penn State tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 434 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia forced 4 fumbles on 439 carries (109.8 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.0
West Virginia allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
West Virginia opponents averaged just 3.3 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.5
West Virginia has allowed opponents to catch just 61 of 139 passes (44% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 58%
West Virginia’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 2% of PATs since the 2022 season– lowest in the Big 12; Average: 8%
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