- Texas is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
- Texas vs. Michigan Total(Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Longhorns 1-0 visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines 1-0 on Sep. 7 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Texas vs. Michigan Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas | -7.5 -105 | 43.5 -110 | -275 |
| Michigan | +7.5 -115 | 43.5 -110 | +220 |
Texas vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texas vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Michigan and key player performances this season.
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Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- Texas was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Texas was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Michigan was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.54% ROI
- Michigan was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Michigan was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Texas was undefeated (8-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .461
Texas was undefeated (6-0) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Texas is undefeated (5-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Texas is 16-5 (.762) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .575
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Michigan is 14-1 (.933) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .395
Michigan is 13-1 (.929) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .410
Michigan is 28-1 (.966) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .495
Michigan is 23-1 (.958) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Michigan
Michigan’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 360 attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.2% of attempts last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Michigan’s TEs gained 925 yards on 70 receptions (13.2 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten TEs. Texas’s defense allowed just 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Michigan gained 3,205 yards on 260 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas’s offense threw for 4,047 passing yards in 14 games (289.1 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s TEs had 59 receptions in 14 games (4.2 per game) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Texas’s TEs gained 874 yards on 59 receptions (14.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas’s offense threw for 4,047 passing yards in 14 games (289.1 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s TEs had 59 receptions in 14 games (4.2 per game) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Texas TEs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (171 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2022 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.9
Texas’s TEs gained 874 yards on 59 receptions (14.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s QBs threw for 3,986 passing yards in 14 games (284.7 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 360 attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.2% of attempts last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Michigan RBs rushed for 12 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Michigan’s TEs gained 925 yards on 70 receptions (13.2 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten TEs. Texas’s defense allowed just 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Michigan RBs have rushed for 62 TDs since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Michigan RBs have rushed for 19 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas has allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (3,155 yards/316 completions) since the 2022 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 12.0
Texas has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 72 carries (10.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.1
Texas allowed 7 rushing TDs on 72 carries (10.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
Texas has allowed 14 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– T-most in FBS
Texas allowed 7 rushing TDs on 72 carries (10.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.7
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan opponents has averaged 45.3 Passing Attempts per TD (906 Pass Attempts/20 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.6
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Michigan has allowed 20 touchdowns on 507 completions (25.4 Completions Per TD) since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 12.3
Michigan opponents has averaged 6.2 Passing Attempts per TD (74 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
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