- The Arizona is a -6 point favorite vs. Texas Tech
- The Texas Tech vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 64 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT.
Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Texas Tech vs. Arizona Over/Under is 64 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +6 -110 | 64 -110 | +200 |
| Arizona | -6 -110 | 64 -110 | -250 |
Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+11.50 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today
- Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -21.1% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.59% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
- Arizona is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.71% ROI
- Arizona is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Arizona is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Texas Tech is 10-7 (.588) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .455
Texas Tech is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Texas Tech is 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .618
Texas Tech is 7-1 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Arizona is 8-1 (.889) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Arizona is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .740
Arizona is 9-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .545
Arizona is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Arizona
Arizona has 413 receptions in 17 games (24.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has 274 receptions in 17 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has 274 receptions in 17 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.7% of 680 attempts since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has averaged 6.6 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s RBs has rushed for 2,600 yards on 485 carries (5.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.7% of 680 attempts since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has averaged 6.6 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players have 524 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Texas Tech’s RBs has rushed for 2,600 yards on 485 carries (5.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 21 receptions in 5 games (4.2 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 25.1 yards per reception (251 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 25.1 yards per reception (251 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Arizona WRs have averaged 26.7 yards per reception (187 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.5
Arizona has 413 receptions in 17 games (24.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has 274 receptions in 17 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed 12 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (4/183) this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Texas Tech has forced 8 fumbles this season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has allowed 15 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 45.8 pass attempts (183 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 10 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Arizona has allowed 37.7 receiving yards per game (641/17) to RBs since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 23.9
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 43 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Arizona sacked opposing QBs on 7% of pass attempts (3/40) last week– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 4%
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 10 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
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