- The Marshall is a -3 point favorite vs. W Michigan
- The Western Michigan vs. Marshall Total(Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Western Michigan Broncos (1-2) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Western Michigan vs. Marshall Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Michigan | +3 -105 | 54.5 -110 | +135 |
| Marshall | -3 -115 | 54.5 -110 | -160 |
Western Michigan vs Marshall Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Michigan vs Marshall Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall
Western Michigan is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .490
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .457
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Marshall is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .551
Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Marshall
Marshall’s TEs has 2 receptions in 3 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 401 yards on 62 carries (6.5 YPC) this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
No notes available for this game
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.4 receptions (22 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Western Michigan Skill Players have caught 7 of 7 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 58%
Western Michigan TEs have averaged 17.7 yards per target (106 yards/6 targets) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
Western Michigan WRs have been targeted 10.0 times per game (30/3) this season– T-3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends
Marshall’s TEs has 2 receptions in 3 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall WRs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Marshall QBs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Marshall WRs have averaged 15.0 receptions per game (45/3) this season– T-33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Marshall WRs have 202 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5
Western Michigan has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1
Western Michigan has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Western Michigan has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.9
Western Michigan has no interceptions (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.9
Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends
Marshall has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Marshall allowed 12.1 Yards per Carry (170 yards/14 carries) on 1st down last week– worst in FBS; Average: 4.4
Marshall allowed 11.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (569 yards / 49 touches) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 6.8
Marshall has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Marshall allowed 13.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 24 touches) on 1st down last week– worst in FBS; Average: 6.6
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