- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Angels vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 14-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 14-11 ATS.
Angels vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+12.15 Units / 122% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Brewers vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Brewers vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Tyler Anderson | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 11-15 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -17.77% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -7.13% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -5% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.24% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 14-11 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 10.93% ROI).
- 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 20% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -13.7% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.53% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (208/799) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (195/503) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (879/2,358) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .941 (16 Total Bases / 17 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (98/239) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Wade Miley with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Wade Miley has allowed a slugging percentage of just .059 (1 Total Bases / 17 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Angels are just 3-16 (.158) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Angels are just 20-10 (.667) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Brewers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Brewers are just 83-5 (.943) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Brewers are 19-11 (.633) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 9-40 (.184) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,278 strikeouts in 4,880 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are just 3-16 (.158) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters are slugging just .199 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .847 (495 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 61 strikeouts in 186 PA’s (33%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 28 strikeouts in 79 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .745 (5,167 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 148 of 1,671 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 60 of 541 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 26 of 231 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15
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