Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena reacts after flying out during the seventh inning of Game 1 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Texas Rangers Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Athletics / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-185) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Athletics are 62-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-71 ATS.

Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido 5-3, 3.45 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-12, 4.87 ERA

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -135O 8.5 -105+150
Astros -1.5 +110U 8.5 -115-185

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 away games (+21.90 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 21 games (+19.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 46 games (+40.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+15.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+15.05 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 away games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 126 games (+17.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 78-66 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.16% ROI).

  • 62-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.69% ROI
  • 67-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -9.52% ROI
  • 74-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-71 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 2.47% ROI).

  • 77-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • 58-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.3 Units / -19.4% ROI
  • 81-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.75 Units / 10.55% ROI

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Osvaldo Bido (OAK) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Osvaldo Bido has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.6 MPH (162 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (44/162) against Osvaldo Bido this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (50/163) against Osvaldo Bido this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (43-for-224) against Osvaldo Bido this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 96th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.048 (212 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .759 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (97/333) against Spencer Arrighetti since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .425 (212 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has walked 30 of 212 batters (14%) versus the top of the order this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.

The Athletics are just 136-87 (.610) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Athletics are just 14-47 (.230) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Athletics are just 172-294 (.369) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 0-50 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .296 (4,381 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .294 (17,184 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,556 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .218 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.67 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,495/17,709 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Astros hitters have just 929 strikeouts in 5,107 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .861 (857 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .678.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (1264.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.6

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.