Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
  • The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSMW | MLBN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 67-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 72-63 ATS.

Cardinals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-6, 4.54 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-2, 9.69 ERA

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -140O 9.5 -115+145
Yankees -1.5 +120U 9.5 -105-175

Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 39 games (+30.50 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+14.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+24.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+19.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+13.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 67 away games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+20.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+15.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 67-68 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -4.21% ROI).

  • 67-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -7.62% ROI
  • 63-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -7.6% ROI
  • 67-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.76% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 72-63 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 7.02% ROI).

  • 79-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 73-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 5.87% ROI
  • 58-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.1 Units / -14.92% ROI

Yankees vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +230 0.5 -300
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Yankees vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Yankees vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Warren (NYY) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Kyle Gibson (STL) 4.5 +120 4.5 -160

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (297/537) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 22 of 140 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,390/2,311) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 18% (94 SO in 522 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .393 (22-for-56) against Will Warren this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Will Warren has an ERA of 10.95 (12.1 IP)this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — first Percentile.

Will Warren has allowed an OPS of 1.087 (62 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .737 — third Percentile.

Will Warren has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (37 Total Bases / 56 ABs) this month (3 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .424 — third Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are just 56-63 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Cardinals are just 14-120 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees are 26-13 (.667) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Yankees are 77-41 (.653) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Yankees are 46-31 (.597) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Yankees vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.