- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cubs are 68-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 76-58 ATS.
Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 10-3, 3.11 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 9-10, 3.83 ERA
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -105 | +130 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+28.00 Units / 311% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+22.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+18.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games at home (+22.80 Units / 99% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 126 games (+13.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+9.40 Units / 103% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 126 games (+9.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+7.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 66-68 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -7.62% ROI).
- 68-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.68% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 76-58 against the Run Line (+10.03 Units / 5.75% ROI).
- 61-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 4.27% ROI
- 63-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 65-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.17 Units / -3.48% ROI
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .167 (34-for-204) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 95th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 7 of 212 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .351 (46-for-131) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .213 (216 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (174/513) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (277/1,010) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (228/633) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .392 (20-for-51) against Jake Irvin this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 54-49 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are 25-7 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Nationals are just 92-136 (.404) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 56-224 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 35-55 (.389) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (588.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 8 of 53 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 12 of 108 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 19% of left-handed batters they faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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