- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 0-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 3-0, 3.64 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-8, 3.01 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -110 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -110 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+30.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+18.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+14.65 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+24.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+23.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 72 games (+22.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+23.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 127 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 127 games (+7.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (265/434) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .208 (79-for-379) against Merrill Kelly since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 35% (310/876) against Merrill Kelly since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 254 of Merrill Kelly’s 540 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 47%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (251/450) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .321 (187 Total Bases / 582 ABs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (138/237) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (350/744) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Diamondbacks are 18-13 (.581) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Diamondbacks are 11-39 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Diamondbacks are 55-11 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are 32-23 (.582) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are just 33-32 (.508) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Red Sox are just 3-123 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,381 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 783 strikeouts in 3,064 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .246 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 178 of 2,588 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 260 barreled balls this season — 4th most in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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