- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Giants are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 22-29 ATS.
Giants vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 4-4, 3.03 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 3-1, 3.16 ERA
Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+22.60 Units / 94% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+10.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 64% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 27-26 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.31% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.18% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -13.54% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 22-29 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -14.33% ROI).
- 21-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -18.89% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 3.12% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -11.54% ROI
Mets vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (333/1,123) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (48/172) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (1,717/4,259) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (394/1,077) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has an average spin rate of 2071.3 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 2407.4 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (21/78) against Sean Manaea in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (16 Total Bases / 71 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 95th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 12 of 81 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 17-94 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Giants are just 26-29 (.473) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Giants are 13-9 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 25-159 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are just 4-92 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 8-143 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 20-35 (.364) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .205 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Mets have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Mets are batting just .227 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mets hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 114 of 1,907 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 219 of 1,973 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 56 of 460 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 23 of 199 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 93 of 860 batters (11%) this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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