- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: Roku
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 0-0 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-6, 4.14 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 7-4, 2.06 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 45 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+19.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 121 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 121 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 away games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 114 games (+31.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrés Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (98/301) against Davidjohn Herz on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has allowed an OBP of just .109 (46 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .101 (9-for-89) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .374 (114 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .731 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .374 (114 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .709 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .239 (113 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .326 — 96th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Nationals are 13-6 (.684) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Nationals are just 69-114 (.377) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Nationals are just 55-222 (.199) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 76-135 (.360) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are 55-29 (.655) after a home win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Braves are 88-40 (.688) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .227 with two-strikes this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Nationals hitters have just 617 strikeouts in 3,277 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,014 strikeouts in 5,224 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (809/11,062) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .484 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .456 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Braves pitchers this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,095 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
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