- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+130) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-61 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 13-4, 3.87 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 8-10, 4.04 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -155 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +130 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 44 games (+30.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+22.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 19 games (+21.00 Units / 96% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 37 games (+45.85 Units / 124% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+14.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+17.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 104 games (+14.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 98 games (+13.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 42 games (+22.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 60-53 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 10.99% ROI).
- 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.44% ROI
- 63-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.55 Units / 16.76% ROI
- 39-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -24.79% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 51-61 against the Run Line (-21.55 Units / -14.21% ROI).
- 51-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -11.8% ROI
- 61-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 6.5% ROI
- 48-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.45 Units / -15.77% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .467 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .341 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (53/168) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (102/269) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .430 (49-for-114) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (161 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 80.8
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .340 (494 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (32/231) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 77.1 MPH on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 84.7 — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-31 (.635) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 8-54 (.129) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Blue Jays are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Blue Jays are 33-28 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .457 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Orioles are 57-28 (.671) against the run line (30.6% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .777 (3,170 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 685 strikeouts in 3,543 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 439 strikeouts in 2,304 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .258 (8,573 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Blue Jays are batting .255 since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 264 of 3,908 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 62 of 523 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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