Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Phillies vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Phillies / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | ESPN+ | MLBN

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 66-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-58 ATS.

Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 7-7, 3.31 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-1, 5.63 ERA

Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-110
Dodgers +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-110

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 49 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Ahmed has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 59 of their last 97 games (+18.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+13.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 56-56 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.34% ROI).

  • 66-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -7.34% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.96% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-58 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.38% ROI).

  • 66-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -6.35% ROI
  • 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -9.54% ROI

Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Amed Rosario (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (157/243) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (218/370) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (289/575) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (92/148) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (431/738) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 56% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (1,375/2,466) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (1,065/1,728) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .460 (209 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Phillies are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 15-11 (.577) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Phillies are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 36-144 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Dodgers are 245-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Dodgers are 105-54 (.660) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Dodgers are 145-72 (.668) at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Games involving the Phillies went OVER in 89% of their games (69.3% ROI) after a loss as underdogs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .359 (493 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Phillies have a winning percentage of 64% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (7,685 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,194 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (12,194 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (7,685 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,210 of 16,091 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (3907.1 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.65 (1927.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
  • Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
  • Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.