- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-59 ATS.
Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 3-1, 4.39 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 9-5, 3.63 ERA
Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -110 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -110 | -145 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+17.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 98 games (+19.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 96 games (+17.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 95 games (+11.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 94 games (+5.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 57-56 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -8.16% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.13% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-59 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -7.56% ROI).
- 66-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -6.87% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.28% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.66% ROI
Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Phillips has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — fourth Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (12 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 5th highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .438 — 10th Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has allowed an OPS of 1.095 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .724 — sixth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH against his fastballs since last season (220 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 90.8
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (75/220) against Gavin Stone on fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 3rd — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 8.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (16 SO in 138 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 58-9 (.866) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Phillies are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 4-2 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 30-5 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 245-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 105-54 (.660) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Dodgers are 145-26 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Dodgers are 22-37 (.373) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,386 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Phillies hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Phillies are batting .263 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have drawn 324 walks in 3,166 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .780 (16,982 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .699 with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .606.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,212 of 16,133 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (3916.1 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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