- The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Pirates / Rangers TV Channel: SNPT | BSSW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Monday, August 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Pirates are 58-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 56-69 ATS.
Pirates vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -125 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +165 | U 9 +105 | -130 |
Pirates vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+26.90 Units / 192% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+19.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+11.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games at home (+16.40 Units / 86% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 84 games (+15.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+18.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games at home (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+3.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 68-55 against the Run Line (+10.46 Units / 6.6% ROI).
- 58-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -5.71% ROI
- 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.22 Units / -3.14% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 56-69 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -14.04% ROI).
- 57-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 55-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -11.12% ROI
- 64-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.65% ROI
Rangers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.136 (25 Total Bases / 22 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .406 — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.136 (25 Total Bases / 22 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.581 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of just 34% (71 SO in 207 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has struck out just 11% (3/27) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — tied for 11th lowest among among 148 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 12% (58/503) against Dane Dunning since last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 16% — fifth Percentile.
34% of Dane Dunning’s strikeouts are looking since last season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 28% (7 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 14th lowest among among 130 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Pirates are just 143-33 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Pirates are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Pirates are just 15-199 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rangers are just 4-200 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 10-182 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 9-95 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 6-107 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .187 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,284 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Pirates are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .424 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .513 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (613 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,557 of 17,182 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 81% of their games this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 68 of 1,103 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (566.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Rangers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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