Cardinals vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 6

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Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love warms up before an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2024, 12:03 PM
  • The Packers are -5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Total (Over/Under): 48 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Arizona Cardinals (2-3-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-2-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).

The Cardinals vs. Packers Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cardinals+5 -11048 -110+180
Packers -5 -11048 -110-225

Cardinals vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 67.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cardinals vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

  • James Conner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Chris Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.70 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tucker Kraft has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.15 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have scored last in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+4.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals art 3-2 (+0.7 Units / 12.28% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.71% ROI
  • Cardinals are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Cardinals are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Packers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 18.33% ROI
  • Packers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Packers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Cardinals were 1-12 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Packers were 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Packers were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Packers were 3-7 (.300) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .375.

The Packers were 3-2 (.600) when not forcing a turnover last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have averaged 0.08 epa per play against a base rush since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 0.13 epa per play with a base rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Packers have run 50.4% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponents to run 52.4% of plays in their territory since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Packers have run 17.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponent to run 19.2% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 63.8% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 64.2% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 41.1% of pass attempts with motion this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers have pressured opposing QBs on 32.9% of pass attempts against motion this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 41.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Packers have pressured opposing QBs on 53.3% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals have scored 5 TDs on first drive of the game this season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 69% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 75% of rush attempts against a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Packers have started 19 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — T-most in NFL.

The Packers started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in Week 5 — most in NFL.

The Packers have averaged 0.76 epa per play against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (0 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 117.1.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47% since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has 9 interceptions this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Packers defense has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 22 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Packers defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 17% of opponent drives since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.