- The Angels (73-87) are -140 favorites vs the Athletics (58-102)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (8-6), 4.51 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (9-13), 4.11 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Los Angeles Angels (-140) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Angels vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 73-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 78-82 ATS.
Angels vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -120 | -140 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -150 | U 7.5 +100 | +115 |
Angels vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 43 games (+21.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+17.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in his last 13 games (+13.85 Units / 105% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.05 Units / 85% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vimael Machin has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Athletics vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Athletics vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Athletics vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 26 games (+16.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 75-85 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -8.85% ROI).
- 73-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.75 Units / -12.91% ROI
- 73-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 78-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.74% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 78-82 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -9.08% ROI).
- 58-102 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -9.93% ROI
- 73-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.6 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 81-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.74% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (51/264) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (207/365) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 62% (223/361) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
The last hit on a Michael Lorenzen changeup was September 16th. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 26.
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (123 SO in 717 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Cole Irvin has located his pitches away 57% of the time (270/473) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (479/714) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.
52% of Cole Irvin’s called strikeouts are inside this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 93rd Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Angels are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Angels are just 6-63 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Athletics are just 27-52 (.342) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Athletics are just 44-12 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Athletics are just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Athletics are just 24-87 (.216) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .250 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Angels hitters are slugging .371 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have 1,100 strikeouts in 4,119 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 2,084 strikeouts in 8,201 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .606 (2,807 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Athletics are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,124 of 12,163 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Angels have won just 18% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Athletics have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Collin Wiles (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Hand, D10
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Forearm, D15
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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