- The Angels are -175 favorites vs the Mariners
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (-175) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+145) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 2-4 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +100 | O 7 +100 | -175 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -120 | U 7 -120 | +145 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.35 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -140 | 7.5 +110 |
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 96 of their last 167 games (+14.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 85 of their last 155 games (+8.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 88 games at home (+7.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 88 games at home (+4.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 85 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 173 games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 6.25% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 10.43% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -24.53% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -24.14% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -42.01% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 26.32% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -37.12% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 39% (251/652) against Shohei Ohtani in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has located his fastballs down 69% of the time (22/32) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.678 (258 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.146 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani had an OPS of 1.213 (130 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .806 — 99th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .309 (87-for-282) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .186 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (706/1,159) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to July 25th, 2022 — Graham Ashcraft has the longest active streak at 6.
Opponents are hitting .309 (87-for-282) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .184 — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels were just 64-7 (.901) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 34-12 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 26-23 (.531) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Mariners are 100-91 (.524) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Mariners are 68-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .642 (3,730 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have just 8 strikeouts in 52 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .289 (1,843 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .223 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,146 of 12,411 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7 of 55 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Groin, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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