Angels vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Angels (38-45) are -105 favorites vs the Orioles (39-44)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth (1-2), 5.22 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (4-7), 4.69 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Angels vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 38-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 52-31 ATS.

Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +150O 8.5 +100-105
Orioles +1.5 -185U 8.5 -120-115

Angels vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Thursday‘s matchup with 75.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+13.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.45 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Anthony Santander 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Hays 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Orioles vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Anthony Santander 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Austin Hays 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Cedric Mullins 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Orioles vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Orioles vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Lyles 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
Chase Silseth 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 63 games (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+14.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 38-45 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -9.1% ROI).

  • 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -16.6% ROI
  • 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.16% ROI
  • 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.85% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 52-31 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 13.85% ROI).

  • 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -12.31% ROI
  • 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 4.9% ROI

Chase Silseth has limited playing time.

Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .403 (73 Total Bases / 181 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .687 (201 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — third Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .536 (81 Total Bases / 151 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — sixth Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Angels are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.

The Angels are just 34-4 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .918.

The Angels are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 21-72 (.226) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Orioles are 21-17 (.553) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Angels are batting just .132 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Angels hitters are slugging just .205 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Angels hitters have 578 strikeouts in 2,147 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 67 strikeouts in 170 PA’s (39%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have 236 strikeouts in 940 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 40% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Orioles pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.