- The Angels (38-45) are -105 favorites vs the Orioles (39-44)
- Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth (1-2), 5.22 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (4-7), 4.69 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Angels vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 38-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 52-31 ATS.
Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Angels vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Thursday‘s matchup with 75.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+13.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Orioles vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Orioles vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -115 |
| Chase Silseth | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 63 games (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+14.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 38-45 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -9.1% ROI).
- 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -16.6% ROI
- 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.16% ROI
- 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.85% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 52-31 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 13.85% ROI).
- 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 4.9% ROI
Chase Silseth: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has limited playing time.
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .403 (73 Total Bases / 181 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .687 (201 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .536 (81 Total Bases / 151 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Angels are just 34-4 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .918.
The Angels are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 21-72 (.226) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Orioles are 21-17 (.553) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .132 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Angels hitters are slugging just .205 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Angels hitters have 578 strikeouts in 2,147 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 67 strikeouts in 170 PA’s (39%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 236 strikeouts in 940 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 40% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Orioles pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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