Angels vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:08 AM
  • The Phillies (24-29) are -125 favorites vs the Angels (27-27)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-1), 2.70 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (3-2), 3.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Angels vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 25-28 ATS.

Angels vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -190O 8.5 -115+105
Phillies -1.5 +155U 8.5 -105-125

Angels vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Stassi has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Duffy has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Max Stassi has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Max Stassi has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Matt Duffy has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 47 games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -3.78% ROI).

  • 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -11.84% ROI
  • 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1.34% ROI
  • 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -9.45% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 25-28 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -7.07% ROI).

  • 24-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -14.45% ROI
  • 30-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 11.84% ROI
  • 21-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -20.16% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (164/327) against Patrick Sandoval on changeups since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (8/70) against Patrick Sandoval with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has walked 17 of 137 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .136 (26-for-191) against Patrick Sandoval’s changeup since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has struck out just 12% (11/94) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 47% (241/507) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (163/507) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .164 versus the heart of the order (tied for fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .285 versus other batters this season (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

No Matchup notes for this Game

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

No Matchup notes for this Game

The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Angels hitters are slugging just .231 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

The Angels are batting just .175 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Phillies hitters are slugging .433 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Phillies hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Phillies hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

The Phillies are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Angels have allowed 1.57 runs per game (85/54) in late innings this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Mariekson Gregorius (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
  • Kurt Suzuki (Angels): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Joseph Ward (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.