- The Rangers (64-84) are -175 favorites vs the Angels (65-84)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (7-6), 4.73 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (12-6), 2.84 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Angels vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 65-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 79-68 ATS.
Angels vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -115 | +145 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -105 | -175 |
Angels vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 36 games (+17.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 67 of his last 109 games (+24.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+21.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 59 games (+17.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 83 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rangers vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Rangers vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-78 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 65-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.16% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.78% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 79-68 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 63-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -11.34% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -8.33% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 5 of 28 right-handed batters (18%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 37% (11/30) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 6 of 43 batters (14%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (47/244) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 43% of Martin Perez’s pitches (35/81) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (993/2,271) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Martin Perez’s pitches (23/54) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 65.0.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Angels are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-62 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Angels are just 9-35 (.205) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Rangers are just 50-10 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 21-66 (.241) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Rangers are just 4-66 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Rangers are 36-11 (.766) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,039 strikeouts in 3,831 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,456 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .284 (2,747 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,530 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 255 walks in 3,565 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .466 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Rangers hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (750/5,540 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,093 of 11,767 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 129 of 1,316 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 12 of 105 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 20 of 165 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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