Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (54-28) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (28-56)
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (7-3), 4.14 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (6-3), 2.89 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Houston Astros (-185) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 54-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 41-43 ATS.

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -105O 7.5 -115-185
Athletics +1.5 -115U 7.5 -105+150

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+5.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Nick Allen 0.5 +1100 0.5
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Sean Murphy 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Seth Brown 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Nick Allen 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Sean Murphy 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Seth Brown 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Nick Allen 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Sean Murphy 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Seth Brown 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urquidy 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
Paul Blackburn 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 66 games (+17.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 69 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 44-38 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 8.76% ROI).

  • 54-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 9.82% ROI
  • 29-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.95 Units / -26.7% ROI
  • 49-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.1 Units / 18.81% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 41-43 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -11.27% ROI).

  • 28-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -21.54% ROI
  • 34-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -17.34% ROI
  • 45-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 8.21% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .073 (3-for-41) against Jose Urquidy — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (90 Total Bases / 176 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (63 SO in 188 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (17-for-34) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .335 — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (283/670) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (79 Total Bases / 174 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .350 — third Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has an ERA of 1.28 (56.1 IP) on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.66 — 100th Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 63% (420/670) against right-handed batters this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 10th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 31-3 (.912) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Astros are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .919.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 20-9 (.690) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Athletics are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .919.

The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 10-30 (.250) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Astros hitters have just 544 strikeouts in 2,946 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 1,287 strikeouts in 6,409 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,809 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .186 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Athletics are batting just .195 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .563 (1,392 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,392 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,002 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (374.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Athletics have won just 9% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Health and safety protocols, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.