Astros vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Nov 1

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The are -125 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr., 2.45 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez, 1.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Houston Astros (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Tuesday, November 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 114-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +135O 8 -115-125
Phillies +1.5 -160U 8 -105+105

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s World Series matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 64 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 61 games at home (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Bryce Harper 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Bryson Stott 0.5 +1000 0.5
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Bryce Harper 0.5 -210 0.5 +145
Bryson Stott 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Bryce Harper 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Bryson Stott 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance McCullers Jr. 4.5 -160 4.5 +110
Ranger Suarez 2.5 -140 2.5 +100
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 158 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 96 of their last 169 games (+27.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 107 of their last 155 games (+26.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 125 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 117 games (+12.13 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.08 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 91-80 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 6.53% ROI).

  • 114-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +22 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 63-97 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.45 Units / -22.65% ROI
  • 97-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.2 Units / 14.37% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).

  • 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
  • 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI

Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,403/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/357) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (869/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (102/536) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (24/171) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (655/1,217) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (149/245) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Astros are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Astros are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Phillies are 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .771 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies are batting .266 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

The Astros have allowed 3.27 runs per game (265/81) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (1410.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (7,898 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,865 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Mark Appel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.