Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:46 AM
  • The Astros (38-24) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (29-32)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (3-5), 3.60 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Tyson Miller (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Houston Astros (-165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+140) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 38-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 37-24 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -105O 9 -120-165
Rangers +1.5 -115U 9 +100+140

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 74.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Michael Brantley has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adolis Garcia 0.5 +350 0.5 -600
    Brad Miller 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Corey Seager 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
    Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
    Jonah Heim 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

    Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adolis Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Brad Miller 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
    Corey Seager 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Jonah Heim 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

    Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adolis Garcia 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
    Brad Miller 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Corey Seager 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Jonah Heim 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

    Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Luis Garcia 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games (+20.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 36 away games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.58 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-33 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -4.02% ROI).

    • 38-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.33% ROI
    • 19-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.1 Units / -37.02% ROI
    • 41-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.25 Units / 29.45% ROI

    Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 37-24 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 11.31% ROI).

    • 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.6% ROI
    • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -8.5% ROI
    • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.89% ROI

    Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (23 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — seventh Percentile.

    28 of Luis Garcia’s 60 strikeouts (47%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.

    Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .116 (13-for-112) against Luis Garcia with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 93rd Percentile.

    Tyson Miller: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Matt Bush has allowed an OPS of 1.152 (29 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — second Percentile.

    Matt Bush has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (72/102) this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 60% — 98th Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (19/37) against Matt Bush on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

    Matt Bush has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (2 Total Bases / 16 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 93rd Percentile.

    Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

    The Astros are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

    The Astros are 22-14 (.611) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

    The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

    The Rangers are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Rangers are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Rangers are just 9-28 (.243) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    Astros hitters have just 502 strikeouts in 2,775 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Astros hitters have just 632 strikeouts in 3,435 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Astros hitters have just 122 strikeouts in 694 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,282 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

    Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

    Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,621 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

    Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (546.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.

    The Astros have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    Astros pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 546 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.