- The Astros (38-24) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (29-32)
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (3-5), 3.60 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyson Miller (0-0), 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Houston Astros (-165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+140) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 38-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 37-24 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | -165 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | +140 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 74.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-33 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- 38-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.33% ROI
- 19-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.1 Units / -37.02% ROI
- 41-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.25 Units / 29.45% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 37-24 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 11.31% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -8.5% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.89% ROI
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (23 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — seventh Percentile.
28 of Luis Garcia’s 60 strikeouts (47%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (13-for-112) against Luis Garcia with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 93rd Percentile.
Tyson Miller: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Bush has allowed an OPS of 1.152 (29 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — second Percentile.
Matt Bush has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (72/102) this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 60% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (19/37) against Matt Bush on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Matt Bush has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (2 Total Bases / 16 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 22-14 (.611) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Rangers are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 9-28 (.243) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 502 strikeouts in 2,775 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 632 strikeouts in 3,435 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 122 strikeouts in 694 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,282 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,621 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (546.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Astros have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 546 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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