- The – (98-43) are favorites vs the – (98-43)
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (8-9), 3.00 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (1-1), 4.05 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Astros vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 90-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 62-77 ATS.
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+13.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 -105 |
| Wentz | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 129 games (+29.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 86 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+15.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 42 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 73-66 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 4.86% ROI).
- 90-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 4.22% ROI
- 49-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -38.7 Units / -25.4% ROI
- 81-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.85 Units / 17.44% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-77 against the Run Line (-26.15 Units / -14.89% ROI).
- 52-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 54-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.5 Units / -17.17% ROI
- 74-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.45 Units / 10.01% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (479/932) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (59/224) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .151 (33-for-218) against Cristian Javier this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (574/1,146) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has pitched 10.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Bryan Abreu has the longest active streak at 21.2.
Opponents batted just .091 (2-for-22) against Joey Wentz — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .216 — 95th Percentile.
Joey Wentz has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 11st — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 11.
Joey Wentz has allowed an OBP of just .130 (23 PA’s) this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 56-3 (.949) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Astros are 76-5 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Astros are 45-28 (.616) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros are 81-20 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are 11-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Tigers are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Tigers are just 25-46 (.352) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 669 strikeouts in 3,705 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 799 strikeouts in 4,365 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 2,272 strikeouts in 11,615 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,739 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,739 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have 498 strikeouts in 1,709 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 113 of 1,242 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 69% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
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