- The Astros (75-42) are -125 favorites vs the White Sox (60-56)
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (15-3), 1.85 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-5), 1.95 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Houston Astros (-125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-42 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 52-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | O 7 -115 | -125 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -105 | +105 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 73 games (+24.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 75 games (+20.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 44 of his last 58 games at home (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 104 games (+23.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 115 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 61 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 101 games (+10.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 116 games (+16.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 49 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-56 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.77% ROI).
- 75-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.78% ROI
- 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.7% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.57% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.55% ROI
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .147 (37-for-251) against Justin Verlander on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 72% (454/630) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .144 (18 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .246 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 94th Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (98/228) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (72/176) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (381/1,054) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (217/549) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Astros are 65-15 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 47-3 (.940) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Astros are just 3-32 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The White Sox are 55-14 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are 65-26 (.714) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .350 (63 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The White Sox are batting just .136 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .427 (260 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 64 of 1,038 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
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