Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (75-42) are -125 favorites vs the White Sox (60-56)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (15-3), 1.85 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-5), 1.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Houston Astros (-125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 75-42 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 52-64 ATS.

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +140O 7 -115-125
White Sox +1.5 -165U 7 -105+105

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 73 games (+24.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 75 games (+20.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 44 of his last 58 games at home (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Jose Abreu 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Josh Harrison 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jose Abreu 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Josh Harrison 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jose Abreu 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Josh Harrison 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 7.5 +105 7.5 -150
Justin Verlander 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 104 games (+23.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 115 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 61 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 101 games (+10.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 116 games (+16.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 105% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 49 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-56 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.77% ROI).

  • 75-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 3.09% ROI
  • 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.78% ROI
  • 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.7% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -9.07% ROI).

  • 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.24% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.57% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.55% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .147 (37-for-251) against Justin Verlander on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 72% (454/630) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .144 (18 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .246 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 94th Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (98/228) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (72/176) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (381/1,054) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (217/549) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Astros are 65-15 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 47-3 (.940) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Astros are just 3-32 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The White Sox are 55-14 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are 65-26 (.714) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .350 (63 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The White Sox are batting just .136 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .427 (260 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 64 of 1,038 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.