- The Astros (58-30) are -200 favorites vs the Athletics (30-60)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (3-7), 3.32 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (4-2), 3.37 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-200) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 30-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 46-42 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| Astros | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- James Kaprielian has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Frankie Montas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+9.05 Units / 39% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeremy Pena | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 away games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 72 games (+17.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+14.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 43-47 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -12.59% ROI).
- 30-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -20.33% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -16.54% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 7.36% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 4.2% ROI).
- 58-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 9.13% ROI
- 32-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.3 Units / -25.21% ROI
- 52-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.65 Units / 17.08% ROI
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 32% (58 SO in 180 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (8-for-51) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (9 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — 100th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 20% (20 SO in 102 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fifth Percentile.
Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (563/1,250) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (644/1,343) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (410/806) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (552/1,188) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Athletics are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Athletics are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 52-8 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Astros are 31-18 (.633) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Astros are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,282 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .555 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,282 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 1,631 strikeouts in 8,107 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .771 (6,538 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Astros hitters have just 1,321 strikeouts in 6,538 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .187 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Athletics have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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