Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (58-30) are -200 favorites vs the Athletics (30-60)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (3-7), 3.32 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (4-2), 3.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-200) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 30-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 46-42 ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -125O 8 -115+165
Astros -1.5 +105U 8 -105-200

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonah Bride has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • James Kaprielian has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Frankie Montas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+9.05 Units / 39% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Alex Bregman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Chas McCormick 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jake Meyers 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Chas McCormick 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Jake Meyers 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jeremy Pena 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Martin Maldonado 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Alex Bregman 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Chas McCormick 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jake Meyers 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 3.5 +100 3.5 -145
Jose Urquidy 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 away games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 72 games (+17.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+14.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 43-47 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -12.59% ROI).

  • 30-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -20.33% ROI
  • 37-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -16.54% ROI
  • 48-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 7.36% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 4.2% ROI).

  • 58-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 9.13% ROI
  • 32-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.3 Units / -25.21% ROI
  • 52-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.65 Units / 17.08% ROI

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 32% (58 SO in 180 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .157 (8-for-51) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (9 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 20% (20 SO in 102 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fifth Percentile.

Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (563/1,250) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (644/1,343) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (410/806) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (552/1,188) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Athletics are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Athletics are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 52-8 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Astros are 31-18 (.633) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Astros are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,282 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .555 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,282 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Astros hitters have just 1,631 strikeouts in 8,107 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .771 (6,538 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Astros hitters have just 1,321 strikeouts in 6,538 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Astros are batting .187 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Athletics have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jose Altuve (Astros): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.