- The Guardians (27-26) are -165 favorites vs the Athletics (20-39)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (5-2), 2.623 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (3-5), 3.103 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Oakland Athletics (+140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 20-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-24 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -115 | +140 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.65 Units / 127% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 26 away games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 51 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 27-32 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -17.47% ROI).
- 20-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -21.88% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.54% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-24 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 5.87% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -7.76% ROI
Paul Blackburn: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (185/441) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (51/89) against Paul Blackburn this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 28% (38/138) against Paul Blackburn with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed a slugging percentage of just .219 (7 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .423 — 95th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (25/98) against Triston McKenzie this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (43/152) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (22/95) against Triston McKenzie in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .074 (4-for-54) against Triston McKenzie when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 17-1 (.944) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Guardians are just 7-24 (.226) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Guardians are 14-9 (.609) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .311 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .579 (1,484 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Athletics are batting just .199 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (2,111 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 59 strikeouts in 456 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .628 (558 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,471 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 13% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.79 (177.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Chadwick Pinder (Athletics): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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