Athletics vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (27-26) are -165 favorites vs the Athletics (20-39)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (5-2), 2.623 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (3-5), 3.103 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Oakland Athletics (+140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 20-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-24 ATS.

Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -145O 8 -115+140
Guardians -1.5 +120U 8 -105-165

Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.60 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.65 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 26 away games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 51 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 27-32 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -17.47% ROI).

  • 20-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -21.88% ROI
  • 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -9.86% ROI
  • 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.54% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-24 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 5.87% ROI).

  • 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.67% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.19% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -7.76% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (185/441) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (51/89) against Paul Blackburn this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 28% (38/138) against Paul Blackburn with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has allowed a slugging percentage of just .219 (7 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .423 — 95th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (25/98) against Triston McKenzie this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (43/152) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (22/95) against Triston McKenzie in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .074 (4-for-54) against Triston McKenzie when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Athletics are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Athletics are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Guardians are 17-1 (.944) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Guardians are just 7-24 (.226) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Guardians are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Guardians are 14-9 (.609) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .311 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .579 (1,484 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Athletics are batting just .199 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (2,111 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters have just 59 strikeouts in 456 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .628 (558 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,471 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 13% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.79 (177.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Chadwick Pinder (Athletics): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.