- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | O 8 +100 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -120 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -10.34% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.83% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.46% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.33% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 31.22% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 7.54% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -30.33% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 20.72% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of 1.512 (94 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 1.045 — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strike rate of 92% (46/50) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 51 of 411 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strike rate of 74% (404/549) on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (25/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (39/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (41/79) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (503/1,321) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 19-14 (.576) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 32-27 (.542) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are 75-4 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Blue Jays are 90-3 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 20-28 (.417) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees are 12-45 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 23-23 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters have pulled just 39% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (5,442 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 26 walks in 155 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Yankees are batting just .213 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 188 walks in 1,704 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 70% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 167 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 102 of 1,622 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 490 of 6,820 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.02 (170.0 IP) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
The Yankees have allowed 0.74 runs per game (14/19) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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