Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (78-33) are favorites vs the (78-33)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (9-6), 5.11 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Atlanta Braves () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-61 ATS.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves O
Marlins U

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 70 games (+19.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 101 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Matt Olson 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Michael Harris 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Ronald Acuna 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Matt Olson 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Michael Harris 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Ronald Acuna 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Michael Harris 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Ronald Acuna 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jesus Luzardo 6.5 +100 6.5 -145
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 87 games (+16.92 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+15.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 away games (+2.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-56 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -4.69% ROI).

  • 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.45% ROI
  • 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -11.91% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-61 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -12.72% ROI).

  • 50-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -12.42% ROI
  • 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.08% ROI
  • 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.04% ROI

Ian Anderson has allowed an OBP of .485 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.

Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.155 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .757 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (88/269) against Ian Anderson on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .390 (32-for-82) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.

: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .098 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .116 (43 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo this month (2 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 29-3 (.906) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Braves are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are just 6-36 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Marlins are just 8-26 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Marlins are just 7-26 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Marlins are just 23-29 (.442) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Braves hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

Braves hitters are slugging .492 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Braves hitters are slugging .307 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Braves hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins hitters have 703 strikeouts in 2,546 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .277 (850 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .635 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.30 (86.0 IP) this month (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Marlins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Nance (Marlins): Groin, D15
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Max Fried (Braves): Head, D7
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): COVID, D10
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Leg, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.