Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (73-33) are favorites vs the (73-33)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (10-3), 2.58 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (7-2), 2.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on WPIX

The Atlanta Braves () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 64-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 57-49 ATS.

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves O
Mets U

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 66 of his last 95 games (+20.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 57 of his last 95 games (+19.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games at home (+18.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games at home (+16.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Peter Alonso 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jeff McNeil 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Peter Alonso 1.5 +180 1.5 -275

Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Peter Alonso 0.5 -115 0.5 -115

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peterson 5.5 +100 5.5 -140
Odorizzi 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 81 games (+21.77 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 57 games (+15.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+19.02 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 106 games (+15.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 106 games (+8.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 55-52 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.44% ROI).

  • 64-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.33% ROI
  • 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI
  • 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -8.88% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-49 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 6.85% ROI).

  • 67-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.75 Units / 10.09% ROI
  • 55-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 4.55% ROI
  • 45-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -12.85% ROI

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (141 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (162 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (46 Total Bases / 245 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 91st Percentile.

Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (90/259) against Max Scherzer this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 35% (58 SO in 167 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (184-for-964) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (402/1,076) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 28-3 (.903) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .660.

The Braves are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Braves are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are 35-21 (.625) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Mets are 25-5 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Mets are 57-15 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Mets are 57-5 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Braves hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Braves hitters are slugging .306 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Braves hitters have 274 extra-base hits out of 669 total hits (41%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Braves hitters have 232 extra-base hits out of 562 total hits (41%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Mets hitters have just 548 strikeouts in 2,796 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .750 (2,796 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Mets have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have 208 extra-base hits out of 659 total hits (just 32%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Ford (Braves): Neck, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.