- The Brewers (50-40) are -130 favorites vs the Giants (45-43)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (7-3), 4.00 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (6-7), 4.43 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 50-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 43-45 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 7 -105 | -130 |
Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 7 -115 | +105 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.25 Units / 93% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Adrian Houser has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
David Villar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
David Villar | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
David Villar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Wood | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -140 |
Brandon Woodruff | 6.5 -165 | 6.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 43 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-52 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -15.32% ROI).
- 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -4.54% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 43-45 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.2% ROI).
- 45-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -5.93% ROI
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Brandon Woodruff this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 32% (80 SO in 251 PAs) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (148/318) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .187 (83-for-443) against Brandon Woodruff since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (213/660) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (90/262) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (240/705) against Alex Wood on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (226/725) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Brewers are 29-21 (.580) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Brewers are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Giants are 15-6 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Giants are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 22-21 (.512) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .189 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .566.
The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .948 (156 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Giants are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 15 of 109 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 15 of 109 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,103 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 656 of 9,310 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 136 of 2,247 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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