Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (50-40) are -130 favorites vs the Giants (45-43)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (7-3), 4.00 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (6-7), 4.43 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 50-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 43-45 ATS.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +135O 7 -105-130
Giants +1.5 -160U 7 -115+105

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Adrian Houser has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
David Villar 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Joc Pederson 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Joey Bart 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
David Villar 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Joc Pederson 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Joey Bart 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
David Villar 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Joc Pederson 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Joey Bart 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Wood 5.5 -105 5.5 -140
Brandon Woodruff 6.5 -165 6.5 +120
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 43 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-52 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -15.32% ROI).

  • 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.7% ROI
  • 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -2.86% ROI
  • 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -4.54% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 43-45 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 45-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -11.67% ROI
  • 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.52% ROI
  • 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -5.93% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Brandon Woodruff this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 32% (80 SO in 251 PAs) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (148/318) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .187 (83-for-443) against Brandon Woodruff since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.

Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (213/660) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (90/262) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (240/705) against Alex Wood on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (226/725) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The Brewers are 29-21 (.580) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Brewers are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Giants are 15-6 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Giants are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 22-21 (.512) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .189 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .566.

The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .948 (156 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Giants are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Brewers pitchers have walked 15 of 109 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 15 of 109 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,103 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 656 of 9,310 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have walked 136 of 2,247 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • Wilmer Flores (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.