- The Brewers (36-30) are -110 favorites vs the Reds (23-41)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (0-0), 2.16 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (3-0), 2.22 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 36-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-34 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -115 | -110 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -105 | -110 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 76.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aramis Garcia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
| Jason Alexander | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 27-39 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -17.39% ROI).
- 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.41% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.38% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -10.59% ROI).
- 23-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -20.33% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -12.31% ROI
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 1st — the longest active streak is 8.
Jason Alexander has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.2 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 67.1.
The hardest ball hit off of Jason Alexander was just 105.5 MPH — tied for 15th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.5
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The hardest ball hit off of Graham Ashcraft was just 105.4 MPH — tied for 11th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.5
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 21-18 (.538) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Brewers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Brewers are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 11-23 (.324) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Reds are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Reds are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Reds are just 12-18 (.400) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers hitters have 538 strikeouts in 2,253 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,126 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The Reds have allowed 1.80 runs per game (115/64) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Reds pitchers have walked 862 of 8,636 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (268.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 491 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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