Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:19 AM
  • The Brewers (36-30) are -110 favorites vs the Reds (23-41)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (0-0), 2.16 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (3-0), 2.22 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 36-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-34 ATS.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +145O 9.5 -115-110
Reds +1.5 -175U 9.5 -105-110

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 76.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Joey Votto 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Jonathan India 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

    Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Joey Votto 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Jonathan India 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 -300 0.5 +200
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

    Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
    Joey Votto 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
    Jonathan India 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Graham Ashcraft 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
    Jason Alexander 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 away games (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 27-39 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -17.39% ROI).

    • 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.41% ROI
    • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.51% ROI
    • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.38% ROI

    Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -10.59% ROI).

    • 23-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -20.33% ROI
    • 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
    • 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -12.31% ROI

    Jason Alexander has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 1st — the longest active streak is 8.

    Jason Alexander has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.2 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 67.1.

    The hardest ball hit off of Jason Alexander was just 105.5 MPH — tied for 15th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.5

    Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    The hardest ball hit off of Graham Ashcraft was just 105.4 MPH — tied for 11th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.5

    Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Brewers are 21-18 (.538) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Brewers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Brewers are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

    The Reds are just 11-23 (.324) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Reds are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    The Reds are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Reds are just 12-18 (.400) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    Brewers hitters have 538 strikeouts in 2,253 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    Brewers hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.

    Reds hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,126 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.

    The Reds have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    The Reds have allowed 1.80 runs per game (115/64) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

    Reds pitchers have walked 862 of 8,636 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (268.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 491 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.