Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Brewers (38-30) are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals (38-30)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-4), 2.62 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (4-4), 2.51 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 38-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -145O 7.5 +100+145
Brewers -1.5 +120U 7.5 -120-175

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
    Jace Peterson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Luis Urias 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

    Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Christian Yelich 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Jace Peterson 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
    Luis Urias 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

    Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Jace Peterson 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    Luis Urias 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

    Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Corbin Burnes 7.5 -115 7.5 -125
    Miles Mikolas 5.5 +120 5.5 -165
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-30 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 7.17% ROI).

    • 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.52% ROI
    • 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 5.33% ROI
    • 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -13.83% ROI

    Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-39 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -14.03% ROI).

    • 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -4.35% ROI
    • 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.5% ROI
    • 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -4.32% ROI

    Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (48/270) against Miles Mikolas this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

    The last hit on a Miles Mikolas fastball was June 9th. Hitters are 0 for their last 28 in ABs ending on his fastball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

    Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of just .517 (152 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 97th Percentile.

    Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of 24% (16 SO in 66 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 90th Percentile.

    Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (231/614) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (43/92) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

    Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 55% of the time (220/397) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

    Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (601/973) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

    Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

    The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Cardinals are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Cardinals are just 1-28 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

    The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Brewers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Brewers are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Brewers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Cardinals hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 407 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .342 (522 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    The Cardinals are batting .192 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

    The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

    The Brewers are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Cardinals pitchers have walked 60 of 604 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.