- The Cardinals (69-51) are -165 favorites vs the Cubs (52-68)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (6-3), 3.28 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (5-6), 3.67 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The St. Louis Cardinals (-165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+140) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -105 | -165 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -115 | +140 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 65 games (+21.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+19.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nick Madrigal | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).
- 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI
Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (73/198) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 26 of 532 batters (5%) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 85th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 61% (372/607) in two strike counts this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (141/275) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,462/3,461) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (51 Total Bases / 89 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .355 — first Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (565/1,322) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 40-21 (.656) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Cardinals are 58-18 (.763) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Cubs are just 18-99 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are just 26-101 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Cubs are 127-6 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .609 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .609 on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .380.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.002 (159 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.044 (219 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.5
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 112 double plays in 885 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 996 of 10,803 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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