Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (69-51) are -165 favorites vs the Cubs (52-68)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (6-3), 3.28 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (5-6), 3.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The St. Louis Cardinals (-165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+140) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +100O 8 -105-165
Cubs +1.5 -120U 8 -115+140

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 60.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 65 games (+21.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+19.35 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Ian Happ 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +1100 0.5

Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Franmil Reyes 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Ian Happ 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Nick Madrigal 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Ian Happ 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Smyly 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 60% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).

  • 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
  • 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).

  • 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
  • 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
  • 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (73/198) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 26 of 532 batters (5%) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 85th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 61% (372/607) in two strike counts this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.

Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (141/275) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,462/3,461) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (51 Total Bases / 89 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .355 — first Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (565/1,322) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 40-21 (.656) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Cardinals are 58-18 (.763) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Cubs are just 18-99 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Cubs are just 26-101 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Cubs are 127-6 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .609 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .609 on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .380.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.002 (159 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.044 (219 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.5

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 112 double plays in 885 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 996 of 10,803 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.