- The Cardinals (74-54) are -225 favorites vs the Reds (50-76)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (10-10), 3.34 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Robert Anderson (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-225) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+180) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 71-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-66 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -115 | -225 |
| Reds | +1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -105 | +180 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 away games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Colin Moran | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Colin Moran | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Donovan Solano | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colin Moran | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 105 games (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 70-55 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 8.73% ROI).
- 71-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 5.65% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -6.38% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.54% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 58-66 against the Run Line (-13.8 Units / -9.03% ROI).
- 48-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -11.66% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -6.16% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 18% (27 SO in 151 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (226/1,234) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .173 (52 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (5 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (118 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
T.J. Zeuch has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to April 9th, 2021 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (14/23) against T.J. Zeuch against right-handed batters — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (18/36) against T.J. Zeuch — tied for 13th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — ninth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 39-8 (.830) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Cardinals are 62-19 (.765) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cardinals are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 42-22 (.656) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Reds are just 3-62 (.046) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Reds are just 11-57 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Reds are just 17-61 (.218) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 235 extra-base hits out of 546 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .468 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .999 (320 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cardinals hitters have 262 extra-base hits out of 618 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 710 strikeouts in 2,953 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Reds are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 118 double plays in 947 opportunities (12%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 68 double plays in 973 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,080 of 11,049 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
- Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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