Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Cardinals (75-55) are -250 favorites vs the Reds (51-77)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (4-6), 3.45 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (3-10), 6.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-250) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+190) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 72-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-67 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-2.5 +100O 9.5 -115-250
Reds +2.5 -120U 9.5 -105+190

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+15.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 51 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+11.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 away games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.60 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejo Lopez 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
    Aristides Aquino 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Donovan Solano 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Jonathan India 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Jose Barrero 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

    Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejo Lopez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    Aristides Aquino 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Donovan Solano 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
    Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Jose Barrero 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

    Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejo Lopez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    Aristides Aquino 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Donovan Solano 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Jonathan India 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Jose Barrero 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Mike Minor 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
    Jose Quintana 4.5 +120 4.5 -175
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 107 games (+6.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 100 games (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 69 games (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 71-56 against the Run Line (+13.25 Units / 8.36% ROI).

    • 72-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 4.8% ROI
    • 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -6.38% ROI
    • 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.53% ROI

    Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 59-67 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -8.82% ROI).

    • 49-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -10.89% ROI
    • 63-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.41% ROI
    • 61-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.1% ROI

    Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (1,128/1,816) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

    Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (433/780) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

    Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (179/323) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — fourth Percentile.

    Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (229/387) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

    Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    28 of Mike Minor’s 85 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

    Mike Minor has allowed an OPS of 1.120 (130 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .757 — 0 Percentile.

    Mike Minor has allowed an OPS of .781 (72 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .483 — first Percentile.

    Mike Minor has allowed 8 stolen bases this month (5 games) — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

    Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Cardinals are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Cardinals are 40-8 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

    The Cardinals are 33-11 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

    The Reds are just 17-62 (.215) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

    The Reds are just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

    The Reds are just 27-37 (.422) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

    The Reds are just 8-25 (.242) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

    Cardinals hitters have 237 extra-base hits out of 551 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .874 (1,088 PA’s) this month (28 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Cardinals hitters are slugging .545 on the road this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.

    Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,375 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .679 (3,358 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .636 (2,378 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

    Reds hitters have drawn 239 walks in 3,358 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Reds have a winning percentage of just 42% at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

    Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 123 double plays in 966 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 69 double plays in 984 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

    Reds pitchers have walked 468 of 4,928 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Reds pitchers have walked 226 of 2,564 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.