- The Cardinals (40-33) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (27-44)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-0), 0.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-5), 2.63 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Chicago Cubs (+185) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-225) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 27-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 40-33 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | +185 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | -225 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 72.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.75 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -200 | 4.5 +150 |
| Miles Mikolas | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+14.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 57 games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 35-36 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -8.64% ROI).
- 27-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -19.23% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -5.52% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-33 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 4.52% ROI).
- 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -10.59% ROI
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has not allowed a walk in his last 70 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 27th, 2021 — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 111.
Adrian Sampson allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Dylan Cease has the longest active streak at 27.2.
Adrian Sampson allowed an OPS of just .200 (15 PA’s) — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .663 — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .225 (9-for-40) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .249 (169 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 93rd Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of 24% (18 SO in 74 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (49/284) against Miles Mikolas this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Cubs are just 20-91 (.180) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cubs are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Cardinals are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Cardinals are 24-5 (.828) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 578 strikeouts in 2,338 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .394 (58 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .657.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 267 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .381 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 487 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals are batting .265 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Cubs have won just 8% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 65 of 647 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 193 of 2,066 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
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