- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Chicago Cubs () visit London Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10am EDT in London.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-43 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 71 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-33 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 8.18% ROI).
- 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -2.13% ROI
- 36-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.97% ROI
- 37-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -3.1% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 33-43 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -14.63% ROI).
- 31-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.55 Units / -27.37% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.67% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 54% of the time (405/751) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .195 (8-for-41) against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (95/148) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (95 Total Bases / 351 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (84 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed an OPS of 1.539 (106 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .649 (61 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on elevated fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .374 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (58 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on inside fastballs in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .420 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 1-104 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 12-59 (.169) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cubs are just 9-12 (.429) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .608.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Cardinals are just 21-8 (.724) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .287 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .437 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .447 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .278 against LHP over the last 30 days (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 46 of 664 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed 72 home runs this season — fewest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 47 of 671 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
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