Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (53-29) are -200 favorites vs the Cubs (34-49)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (7-3), 3.40 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (9-1), 3.09 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+170) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 34-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-34 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -110O 8.5 -110+170
Dodgers -1.5 -110U 8.5 -110-200

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 35 away games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+6.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+8.15 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Gavin Lux 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Justin Turner 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Max Muncy 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Gavin Lux 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Max Muncy 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 5.5 +110 5.5 -160
Keegan Thompson 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 46 games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 82 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-41 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -5.87% ROI).

  • 34-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -12.1% ROI
  • 40-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 40-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -4.32% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-34 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 11.16% ROI).

  • 53-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -3.7% ROI
  • 30-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -20.53% ROI
  • 44-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 11.85% ROI

Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 58% (142/245) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 33% (89/271) against Keegan Thompson on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .262 (38-for-145) against Keegan Thompson on sliders since the start of last season — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .202 — eighth Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (54 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on the road this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .408 — fifth Percentile.

Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (28 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .433 — first Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (15 Total Bases / 113 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (69 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 61% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (612/1,009) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Cubs are just 6-27 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Cubs are just 34-36 (.486) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Cubs are 113-4 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 24-6 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .669.

The Dodgers are 46-3 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Dodgers are 22-5 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Dodgers are 106-45 (.702) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Cubs hitters have 1,718 strikeouts in 6,706 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs are batting .399 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Cubs hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .567.

Cubs hitters are slugging .642 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 70% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,626 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (2,213 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (5,624 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 205 of 2,963 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.