Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 31, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (67-33) are favorites vs the (67-33)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 3.04 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (10-3), 2.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Diamondbacks vs Braves Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 53-49 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks O
Braves U

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 61 games (+29.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 44 of his last 61 games (+17.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 45 of his last 64 games (+15.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 53 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 63 of his last 90 games (+20.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 59 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 53 of his last 90 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 88 games (+15.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Matt Olson 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Michael Harris 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Braves vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Michael Harris 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Travis D'Arnaud 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Braves vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Michael Harris 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Braves vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Fried 5.5 -125 5.5 -115
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 78 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 76 games (+21.42 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 94 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-43 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 8.45% ROI).

  • 45-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -12.57% ROI
  • 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.47% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-49 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI).

  • 61-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.95% ROI
  • 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.22% ROI

Merrill Kelly did not allow a runner to reach base (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (9-for-60) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 88th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .087 (23 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .255 (12-for-47) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 88th Percentile.

Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

15 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .454 (110 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (137 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 44-49 (.473) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Diamondbacks are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Braves are 27-3 (.900) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Braves are 54-13 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Braves are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 42-5 (.894) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,912 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .310 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Braves hitters are slugging .532 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Braves hitters are slugging .497 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Braves hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .843 (751 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Kenley Jansen (Braves): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D10
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.